THE PACK OR THE SINGLE?

Pull vs Buy

Opening packs is part of the fun. When you’re chasing one specific card, it helps to understand the odds and the cost.

Your assumptions

The starting numbers are an example, not a measured pull rate. Use the odds for the exact card you want, not its rarity as a whole.

Price per pack ($)One target card in every… packsPacks you plan to openBuy the single ($)

What the numbers say

Chance of pulling at least one target: 30.4%
Cost of your packs: $180.00
Cost of the single: $100.00
Packs for at least a 50% chance: 69
Average spend until first target: $500.00

Each pack is assumed independent with the same odds. An average is not a guarantee: you can spend more and never pull the card. Other cards, resale value, shipping, taxes, and the enjoyment of opening packs are excluded.